Tuesday, September 30, 2025

Trump's Gaza plan is a significant step - but faces fundamental obstacles

 Tom BatemanState department correspondent at the White House










US President Donald Trump said his plan for ending the war in Gaza was potentially one of the greatest days in the history of civilisation, and one that could bring "eternal peace in the Middle East".

The hyperbole was characteristic. However, his 20-point proposal, announced at the White House on Monday as Trump met the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, is still a significant diplomatic step - if not quite matching his exotic overstatement.

The plan amounts to a shift in the Trump administration's position on a post-war future for Gaza, and adds more pressure than Washington has applied this year on Netanyahu to accept a deal.


Whether it can become a reality in the coming weeks will depend heavily on the same issues that have always been fundamental: whether both Netanyahu and the leadership of Hamas now see greater gains in ending the war than in continuing it.

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Donald Trump's 20-point Gaza peace plan in full

Trump and Netanyahu agree new Gaza peace plan

Blair would help oversee Gaza transition under Trump plan

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Hamas' response to this proposal is not yet clear. A pessimistic assessment came from one Hamas figure, who earlier hinted to the BBC that the terms largely failed to safeguard Palestinian interests and the group would not accept any plan that did not guarantee Israel's withdrawal from Gaza.


Netanyahu, standing next to the US president, said Israel accepted Trump's 20 principles, even though a leader in the far-right flank of his coalition had already rejected some of them.

But acceptance of Trump's principles alone is not the same as actually ending the war. And while Netanyahu rejects this accusation, his domestic opponents say he has form for spiking an emerging deal if it endangers his political survival at home.


In that sense, the proposal may not be enough to get the breakthrough Trump clearly wants. It still contains significant obstacles for the political constituencies of both Israel and Hamas that could prevent them ultimately reaching a deal.

------------------------------------------------------------------Israel demolishes more high-rise towers as Gaza City offensive ramps up

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There is also enough ambiguity in the plan that either side can appear to accept it while using the course of further negotiations to sabotage it, blaming the other side for its failure.


This has been a pattern over months of negotiations. And if that happens, it is clear where the Trump administration will stand - on the side of Israel.


Trump made this clear to Netanyahu, telling him on Monday that if Hamas did not agree to the proposal then he would have America's "full backing to do what you would have to do".

Although Trump presented this as a deal, it is in reality a framework for further negotiations - or as he put it at one point, a series of "principles". This is far from the kind of detailed plan that would need to be agreed to end the war.


It is more akin to the "framework" his predecessor Joe Biden announced in May 2024 to try to get a phased ceasefire and agreement to end the war. In that case, it was another eight months before Israel and Hamas implemented a truce and hostage and prisoner exchange.

_

What is Hamas and why is it fighting with Israel in Gaza?

Israel and the Palestinians: History of the conflict explained

What does recognising a Palestinian state mean?

_

Trump wants an "all in one" peace deal - but that requires considerable work to map out detailed Israeli withdrawal lines, specific details around the freeing of hostages, the identities of Palestinian prisoners to be released, and the specific conditions for post-war governance among many other issues.


None of these are detailed in his 20-point plan, and all have the potential to derail a peace agreement.


This framework borrows from previous proposals including the Saudi-French plan from July, and recent work done by former UK Prime Minister Sir Tony Blair who would sit on the Trump-chaired "Board of Peace" that would temporarily oversee the running of Gaza under this plan.

It was drawn up by Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff and his son-in-law Jared Kushner after consulting with Israel, European and Arab countries including mediators Qatar and Egypt. It calls for a stop to the fighting, the limited withdrawal of Israeli forces, and Hamas to release all remaining hostages followed by the release of hundreds of Palestinian prisoners held by Israel.


It then envisages the establishment of a local, technocratic administration in Gaza to run day-to-day services, overseen by the "Board of Peace" who would be based in Egypt.

Remaining Hamas members who "commit to peaceful co-existence" and to decommission their weapons would be given amnesty and others would be exiled. An international "stabilisation" force created by the US and Arab countries would take over security in Gaza, ensuring the demilitarisation of Palestinian armed factions.


Trump's Gaza plan is a significant step - but faces fundamental obstacles

6 hours ago

Tom BatemanState department correspondent at the White House



 Trump and Netanyahu outline peace plan to end war in Gaza

US President Donald Trump said his plan for ending the war in Gaza was potentially one of the greatest days in the history of civilisation, and one that could bring "eternal peace in the Middle East".


The hyperbole was characteristic. However, his 20-point proposal, announced at the White House on Monday as Trump met the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, is still a significant diplomatic step - if not quite matching his exotic overstatement.


The plan amounts to a shift in the Trump administration's position on a post-war future for Gaza, and adds more pressure than Washington has applied this year on Netanyahu to accept a deal.


Whether it can become a reality in the coming weeks will depend heavily on the same issues that have always been fundamental: whether both Netanyahu and the leadership of Hamas now see greater gains in ending the war than in continuing it.



Donald Trump's 20-point Gaza peace plan in full

Trump and Netanyahu agree new Gaza peace plan

Blair would help oversee Gaza transition under Trump plan

Hamas' response to this proposal is not yet clear. A pessimistic assessment came from one Hamas figure, who earlier hinted to the BBC that the terms largely failed to safeguard Palestinian interests and the group would not accept any plan that did not guarantee Israel's withdrawal from Gaza.


Netanyahu, standing next to the US president, said Israel accepted Trump's 20 principles, even though a leader in the far-right flank of his coalition had already rejected some of them.


But acceptance of Trump's principles alone is not the same as actually ending the war. And while Netanyahu rejects this accusation, his domestic opponents say he has form for spiking an emerging deal if it endangers his political survival at home.


In that sense, the proposal may not be enough to get the breakthrough Trump clearly wants. It still contains significant obstacles for the political constituencies of both Israel and Hamas that could prevent them ultimately reaching a deal.




2:34

Israel demolishes more high-rise towers as Gaza City offensive ramps up


There is also enough ambiguity in the plan that either side can appear to accept it while using the course of further negotiations to sabotage it, blaming the other side for its failure.


This has been a pattern over months of negotiations. And if that happens, it is clear where the Trump administration will stand - on the side of Israel.


Trump made this clear to Netanyahu, telling him on Monday that if Hamas did not agree to the proposal then he would have America's "full backing to do what you would have to do".


Although Trump presented this as a deal, it is in reality a framework for further negotiations - or as he put it at one point, a series of "principles". This is far from the kind of detailed plan that would need to be agreed to end the war.


It is more akin to the "framework" his predecessor Joe Biden announced in May 2024 to try to get a phased ceasefire and agreement to end the war. In that case, it was another eight months before Israel and Hamas implemented a truce and hostage and prisoner exchange.


What is Hamas and why is it fighting with Israel in Gaza?

Israel and the Palestinians: History of the conflict explained

What does recognising a Palestinian state mean?

Trump wants an "all in one" peace deal - but that requires considerable work to map out detailed Israeli withdrawal lines, specific details around the freeing of hostages, the identities of Palestinian prisoners to be released, and the specific conditions for post-war governance among many other issues.


None of these are detailed in his 20-point plan, and all have the potential to derail a peace agreement.


This framework borrows from previous proposals including the Saudi-French plan from July, and recent work done by former UK Prime Minister Sir Tony Blair who would sit on the Trump-chaired "Board of Peace" that would temporarily oversee the running of Gaza under this plan.




1:03

A walk-out and speakers in Gaza: See how Netanyahu's UN speech unfolded


It was drawn up by Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff and his son-in-law Jared Kushner after consulting with Israel, European and Arab countries including mediators Qatar and Egypt. It calls for a stop to the fighting, the limited withdrawal of Israeli forces, and Hamas to release all remaining hostages followed by the release of hundreds of Palestinian prisoners held by Israel.


It then envisages the establishment of a local, technocratic administration in Gaza to run day-to-day services, overseen by the "Board of Peace" who would be based in Egypt.


Remaining Hamas members who "commit to peaceful co-existence" and to decommission their weapons would be given amnesty and others would be exiled. An international "stabilisation" force created by the US and Arab countries would take over security in Gaza, ensuring the demilitarisation of Palestinian armed factions.


Palestinian statehood is mentioned, but only in the vaguest of terms. The plan suggests that if the Ramallah-based Palestinian Authority is reformed, conditions "may finally be in place for a credible pathway to Palestinian self-determination and statehood".


The Arab countries see Trump's proposals as a significant breakthrough for them. In part because they have disposed of his February Gaza "Riviera" plan which would have involved the forced displacement of Palestinians.


They also have at least the mention of Palestinian statehood, even if there is no commitment to it.


And the US plan says "Israel will not occupy or annex Gaza" - albeit with no similar pledge for the occupied West Bank. This a vital clause for the Arab nations, even if it is contradicted by another line in the plan which says Israel will still maintain its forces in the "security perimeter" of Gaza.


On the Israeli side, Netanyahu says the entire framework is consistent with his objectives for ending the war. That is, to see Hamas disarmed, Gaza demilitarised and no future Palestinian state being established.


But it is still unclear whether the clauses on disarmament and Palestinian statehood will be accepted by parts of his government, or whether he might use this pressure to add or "refine" clauses.


Much now depends on the response from Hamas.


As my colleague Rushdi Abu Alouf wrote earlier, this could be another "Yes, but" moment in which Hamas appears to accept the proposals while also calling for clarifications. So the same occupational hazard comes into play for the White House as fo

r the authors of the previous "frameworks" and "principles" for ending the war.


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Leaders in Middle East and Europe welcome Trump's Gaza peace plan


Rushdi AbualoufGaza correspondent and
George Wright
Trump and Netanyahu outline peace plan to end war in Gaza
European and Middle Eastern leaders have welcomed a US peace plan for Gaza, as President Donald Trump warned Hamas to accept it.
The plan, agreed by Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, proposes an immediate end to fighting, the release within 72 hours of 20 living Israeli hostages held by Hamas as well as the remains of the more than two dozen hostages who are believed to be dead - in exchange for hundreds of detained Gazans

Hamas officials have been given the 20-point plan, a Palestinian source told the BBC.

The plan also says Hamas will have no role in governing Gaza, and leaves the door open for an eventual Palestinian state - but Netanyahu later again ruled this out.

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Trump's 20-point Gaza peace plan in full
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Speaking at Monday's news conference at the White House, Trump called the plan "a historic day for peace".

But he said Netanyahu would have US backing to "finish the job of destroying the threat of Hamas" if Hamas did not agree to the plan.

Netanyahu then said Israel "will finish the job" if Hamas rejected the plan or did not not follow through.

In a video statement shortly afterwards, Netanyahu reinstated his longstanding opposition to a Palestinian state. "It's not written in the agreement. We said we would strongly oppose a Palestinian state," he said.

He also said the peace plan would allow the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to stay in Gaza - contrary to the text of the proposal published by the White House.

The Palestinian Authority (PA), which governs parts of the Israeli-occupied West Bank, has called the US president's efforts "sincere and determined".

In a statement published by its Wafa news agency, the PA said it "renews its joint commitment to work with the United States, regional states, and partners" to end the war on Gaza, ensure sufficient delivery of humanitarian aid to Gaza, and the release of hostages and prisoners.

In a joint statement, the foreign ministers of the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, Indonesia, and Pakistan said they welcomed Trump's "leadership and his sincere efforts to end the war in Gaza".

They said they were ready to engage with the US to finalise and implement the agreement, which they said should lead to a "two state solution, under which Gaza is fully integrated with the West Bank in a Palestinian state".

European Council President Antonio Costa said he was "encouraged by Prime Minister Netanyahu's positive response" to the proposal. He added "all parties must seize this moment to give peace a genuine chance".

At least 66,055 people have been killed in Israeli attacks in Gaza since October 2023, according to the Hamas-run health ministry

The proposal, if followed, would begin with the immediate cessation of military operations. It also says existing "battle lines" would be frozen in place until conditions are met for a staged withdrawal. Hamas would lay down its arms and its tunnels and weapon production facilities would be destroyed.
For every Israeli hostage whose remains are released, Israel will release the remains of 15 dead Gazans, the plan says.

Read more: Hamas hostages: Stories of the people taken from Israel.                         

The plan also stipulates that once both sides agree to the proposal "full aid will be immediately sent into the Gaza Strip".

The US also outlines its plan for the future governance of Gaza.

It says a "technocratic, apolitical Palestinian committee" will govern temporarily "with oversight and supervision by a new international transitional body, called the Board of Peace", which it says will be headed by Trump.

Former UK PM Sir Tony Blair will be part of the governing body alongside other leaders "to be announced". Sir Tony called the plan "bold and intelligent".
UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer also welcomed the plan, saying: "We call on all sides to come together and to work with the US Administration to finalise this agreement and bring it into reality.
Hamas should now agree to the plan and end the misery, by laying down their arms and releasing all remaining hostages," Sir Keir added.

French President Emmanuel Macron said: "France stands ready to contribute" to the efforts to end the war and release hostages.

"These elements must pave the way for in-depth discussions with all relevant partners to build a lasting peace in the region, based on the two-state solution."

Italy's Prime Minister, Giorgia Meloni, said in a statement that the proposal "could represent a turning point in this process". Italy "urges all parties to seize this opportunity and accept the plan," she said.

The plan adds that Hamas must have no role in governance, "directly, indirectly, or in any form".

Much of the plan is focused on what the US calls an "economic development plan" to rebuild Gaza. It also says "Israel will not occupy or annex Gaza" and its forces will withdraw from the territory in stages over time.

In a shift from Trump's earlier statements, Palestinians will not be forced to leave Gaza. Instead, the document said: "We will encourage people to stay and offer them the opportunity to build a better Gaza."

The plan also leaves the door open to an eventual Palestinian state.

A Palestinian source familiar with the ceasefire negotiations told the BBC "Qatari and Egyptian officials have handed over the White House plan to end the war in Gaza to Hamas officials in Doha", where Hamas's political leadership is based.

Earlier, a senior Hamas official told the BBC that the group remained open to studying any proposal that could end the war in Gaza, but stressed that any agreement must safeguard Palestinian interests, ensure a full Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and bring the war to an end.

Asked about the group's weapons, the official said: "The weapons of the resistance are a red line as long as the occupation continues.

"The issue of arms can only be discussed within the framework of a political solution that guarantees the establishment of an independent Palestinian state on the 1967 borders."



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For Netanyahu, avoiding a peace deal may now be worse than agreeing one

 Lucy WilliamsonMiddle East Correspondent, Jerusalem








He promised total victory for Israel, but standing next to Donald Trump at the White House on Monday, it was Benjamin Netanyahu who looked defeated.

Israel's prime minister was saying all the right things about the peace deal he had just agreed to, but he seemed deflated, his voice hoarse and his energy dimmed, as he praised Trump as "the greatest friend Israel has ever had in the White House".

It is a friendship that could cost him his government.

Netanyahu's far-right allies have threatened to leave – and possibly collapse – his government if he makes too many concessions in ending the war. Coalition partners like Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir have made little secret of their desire to annex Gaza, drive out Palestinians and re-establish Jewish settlements there.

They – and Netanyahu – have been implacably opposed to any role for the Palestinian Authority in Gaza, and any pathway to a Palestinian State. The deal Netanyahu has now agreed to outlines both, though with heavy caveats.

Trump knows that by pushing the Israeli prime minister into this deal, he is asking him to risk his government. In return, he is dangling the prospect of a historic legacy – a new, more peaceful future for the region, and new ties between Israel and its Arab neighbours.

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Trump's 20-point Gaza peace plan in full

Watch: Trump and Netanyahu outline peace plan to end war in Gaza

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For Netanyahu, avoiding a peace deal may now be worse than agreeing one

Getty Images Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu participates in a joint news conference with U.S. President Donald Trump in the State Dining Room at the White House on September 29, 2025 in Washington, DCGetty Images

He promised total victory for Israel, but standing next to Donald Trump at the White House on Monday, it was Benjamin Netanyahu who looked defeated.


Israel's prime minister was saying all the right things about the peace deal he had just agreed to, but he seemed deflated, his voice hoarse and his energy dimmed, as he praised Trump as "the greatest friend Israel has ever had in the White House".


It is a friendship that could cost him his government.

Netanyahu's far-right allies have threatened to leave – and possibly collapse – his government if he makes too many concessions in ending the war. Coalition partners like Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir have made little secret of their desire to annex Gaza, drive out Palestinians and re-establish Jewish settlements there.


They – and Netanyahu – have been implacably opposed to any role for the Palestinian Authority in Gaza, and any pathway to a Palestinian State. The deal Netanyahu has now agreed to outlines both, though with heavy caveats.


Trump knows that by pushing the Israeli prime minister into this deal, he is asking him to risk his government. In return, he is dangling the prospect of a historic legacy – a new, more peaceful future for the region, and new ties between Israel and its Arab neighbours.


Trump's 20-point Gaza peace plan in full

Watch: Trump and Netanyahu outline peace plan to end war in Gaza

There were signs, even before Netanyahu left for Washington, that he knew this choice was coming.

Israel's president, Isaac Herzog, told an Israeli radio station that he was considering pardoning Netanyahu in the corruption cases he is currently facing in court. These trials are one reason, his critics allege, that he is reluctant to leave office and face the judges without the shield of his national duties, power and profile.

But the political exit being offered to him in this moment – a regional legacy in return for giving up his government, and possibly his political career – does not seem to have entirely won him over.

His first response to his countrymen today has been to publicly emphasise that he did not, in fact, agree to a Palestinian state.

"Absolutely not. It's not even written in the agreement," he said in response to a question on camera. "But we did say one thing – that we would forcibly resist a Palestinian state."

Reports in the Israeli media this morning also suggest that Israel's cabinet will not get to vote on the full terms of the deal – but only on the exchange of Israeli hostages for Palestinian prisoners.

The question is what these actions signify about his political calculation: whether Netanyahu is trying to hold his government together long enough to work his political magic on the polls, which currently predict he would lose an election, or whether he is banking on Hamas rejecting this deal – or being unable to control its commanders on the ground in Gaza – and that the war will not stop at all.

The potential continuation of the war was something he emphasised in that uncomfortable press conference in Washington, underlining – with Trump's backing – that Israel would have free rein to "finish the job" if Hamas failed to deliver on its side of the deal. Seen in that light, this uncomfortable moment could be the price of continuing American support for his war.

Netanyahu is known as a master of political manoeuvres, threading a path between political roadblocks to buy time. He has shifted position through previous rounds of negotiations, and has ridden through previous ceasefire deals, only to back out when a permanent end to the war is up for discussion.

Many believe he has never wanted to negotiate an end to this war, but to force Hamas into a surrender on Israel's terms. But it is hard to maintain that uncompromising image of "total victory" when you have publicly conceded to the very things you have spent a career preventing, and when you are waiting for your enemy's response.

For the first time since the war began, it seems that the consequences of avoiding this deal were worse than the consequences of agreeing to it. And if Trump really did force him to choose between his ally in Washington and his allies at home, why didn't Joe Biden do the same when a similar deal was on the table nine months ago – and atleast 20,000 more Gazans were still alive?

More on this story

Qatar to continue mediation after Israel expresses regret over strike on Hamas

Blair would help oversee Gaza transition under Trump plan

Trump's Gaza plan is a significant step - but faces fundamental obstacles

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Trump peace plan 'ignores interests of Palestinian people', Hamas official tells BBC

Smoke and fire rise from a building in Gaza City. Image source,AFP via Getty Images
Article Information
Author,Rushdi Abualouf
Role,Gaza correspondent, Istanbul

A senior Hamas figure has told the BBC that the group is likely to reject Donald Trump's peace plan for Gaza, saying it "serves Israel's interests" and "ignores those of the Palestinian people".

The figure said that Hamas is unlikely to agree to disarming and handing over their weapons - a key condition of Trump's plan.

Hamas is also said to object to the deployment of an International Stabilisation Force (ISF) in Gaza, which it views as a new form of occupation.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu accepted Trump's plan during White House talks on Monday. Hamas has not yet given an official response.
Qatar's foreign ministry has said Hamas is studying the White House proposal "responsibly".

A senior Palestinian official with knowledge of Hamas talks told the BBC they involve the group's leadership both inside and outside of Gaza.

The group's military commander in the territory, Ez al-Din al-Haddad, is thought to be determined to keep fighting rather than accept the plan on offer. Hamas figures outside Gaza have recently found themselves sidelined in discussions as they do not have direct control over the hostages
Hamas talks, which are expected to take several days, also include other Palestinian factions.

The armed group Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), which took part in the 7 October attack and previously held some Israeli hostages, rejected the plan on Tuesday.

For Hamas, a key sticking point is thought to be that the plan requires them to hand over all of the hostages in one go - giving away their only bargaining chip.

Even with Donald Trump's backing for the plan, there is a lack of trust that Israel will not resume its military operations once it has received the hostages - particularly after it attempted to assassinate Hamas leadership in Doha earlier this month, in defiance of the US.

Additionally, a map of Gaza shared by the Trump administration shows what appears to be a planned buffer zone along Gaza's southern border with Egypt. It is unclear how this would be administered, but if Israel is involved it is also likely to be a point of contention.

Further, since agreeing to the plan on Monday evening, Netanyahu has appeared to push back on several of the terms it outlines.

In a video shared on X, he insists that the Israeli military would be able to remain in parts of Gaza and that Israel said it would "forcibly resist" a Palestinian state.

This goes against the terms of Trump's framework, which stipulates complete withdrawal of Israeli forces and says that once the plan is complete there may be a "credible pathway to Palestinian self-determination and statehood".

Within Gaza, Palestinians were broadly supportive of the plan, but only because it would lead to an end to the war.

Resident Khadar Abu Kweik told the BBC: "The American plan has bad clauses, but I support it because it will stop the war and get rid of Hamas. Even if the devil himself brought a plan to end this hell we are living in, I would support it."

Palestinian journalist Fathi Sabah said: "A Hamas rejection, god forbid, would mean giving Netanyahu a green light to continue the war with American and Western backing, to destroy what remains of Gaza and the central region."

"The people of Gaza cannot bear that. They are devastated, exhausted, desperate and hopeless," he said.

"They want a ceasefire now, not tomorrow, at any cost, even though they know the plan serves Netanyahu's interests, is full of pitfalls, and does not reflect their aspirations," he added.

The Israeli military launched a campaign in Gaza in response to the Hamas-led attack on southern Israel on 7 October 2023, in which about 1,200 people were killed and 251 others were taken hostage.

At least 66,097 people have been killed in Israeli attacks in Gaza since then, according to the territory's Hamas-run health ministry.

In August, a UN-backed body confirmed that famine was taking place in Gaza City. Earlier this month, a UN commission of inquiry concluded that Israel had committed genocide in Gaza - which Israel strongly rejects

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Hamas military leader in Gaza objects to ceasefire plan, BBC understands

  Rushdi Abualouf Gaza correspondent, Istanbul Israel has pressed on with its offensive in Gaza City since President Trump unveiled his peac...